Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

Wojtek Kolan

Our Predictions

H2H Records Career Stats

HEAD TO HEAD
D. Medvedev vs P. Carreno-Busta

Daniil Medvedev

RUS

5

Win

Played

2

Win

Age

6'6" (198 cm)

Height

6'2" (188 cm)

C. Rank

Best Rank

Total Titles

YTD Titles

$33.0M

Career Money

$10.7M

Right-Handed

Plays

Right-Handed

Pablo Carreno-Busta

ESP

5

Win

Played

2

Win

Age

6'6" (198 cm)

Height

6'2" (188 cm)

C. Rank

Best Rank

Total Titles

YTD Titles

$33.0M

Career Money

$10.7M

Right-Handed

Plays

Right-Handed

Head-to-head: Medvedev 5 - 2 Carreno-Busta

They have played 15 sets in total, with Daniil Medvedev winning 10 and Pablo Carreno-Busta winning 5. The last match between Daniil Medvedev and Pablo Carreno-Busta was at the Davis Cup, Finals, Group A, 28-11-2021, Round: Rubber 2, Surface: I.hard, with Daniil Medvedev getting the victory 6-2 7-6(3).

Players	Head To Head Match Wins
Medvedev	5
Carreno-Busta	2

Last 7 H2H Matches:

(Rubber 2) Davis Cup, Finals, Group A(11-28-21)

Stats

Daniil Medvedev

Pablo Carreno-Busta

(QF) Western & Southern Open - Cincinnati(08-20-21)

Stats

Daniil Medvedev

Pablo Carreno-Busta

(QF) Olympics - Tokyo(07-29-21)

Stats

Pablo Carreno-Busta

Daniil Medvedev

D. Medvedev vs P. Carreno-Busta H2H Profile

D. Medvedev	Stats	P. Carreno-Busta
$32,984,050	Career Prize Money	$10,687,070
70.40% (578-243)	Career Total W/L	63.25% (611-355)
1	Grass	0
1	Hard	2
3	Indoor	0
26	Titles	33
5	Total H2H Matches	2
64.06% (41-23)	YTD Win/Loss	37.50% (9-15)
1	YTD Titles	0

D. Medvedev vs P. Carreno-Busta Match Preview:

Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Daniil Medvedev has won 44.20% of points on their second serve, while Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 43.31%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Daniil Medvedev, in recent form, has won 47.52% of their opponent's second serve points, while Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 47.00%. The same stats for first serve returns are 24.45% and 27.34% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
Under pressure analysis: Daniil Medvedev has saved 60.14% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Pablo Carreno-Busta has saved 54.04% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
Performance overview: Over the last year Daniil Medvedev has won 64.06% of matches played (W/L 41/23), with Pablo Carreno-Busta winning 59.42% (W/L 41/28) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
Best surface: Daniil Medvedev has their best career surface win % on Hard, winning 75% (W/L 267/91), and worse career win % on Clay, winning 64% (W/L 94/52). Pablo Carreno-Busta has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 75% (W/L 355/186), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 30% (W/L 6/14).
Player level: In the last year, Daniil Medvedev has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 69.70% of matches (W/L 23/10), where as Pablo Carreno-Busta has played most of their matches on the Challengers/ITF tournaments > $10K, winning 75.68% of matches (W/L 28/9). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
Direct H2H matches: They have played 7 times before with Daniil Medvedev winning 5 times and Pablo Carreno-Busta being victorious 2 times. They have played 15 sets in total, with Daniil Medvedev winning 10 and Pablo Carreno-Busta winning 5.
The last match between Daniil Medvedev and Pablo Carreno-Busta was at the Davis Cup, Finals, Group A, 28-11-2021, Round: Rubber 2, Surface: I.hard, with Daniil Medvedev getting the victory 6-2 7-6(3).
Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 1:21:22.
Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Daniil Medvedev has played against opponents with an average rank of 99.61 while Pablo Carreno-Busta has played against players with an average rank of 187.87.
Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Daniil Medvedev has won 56% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Pablo Carreno-Busta has won 50% in all matches played on tour.
Break point conversion: In recent form, Daniil Medvedev has converted 29.14% of breakpoint opportunities, and Pablo Carreno-Busta has converted 33.11% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.

Daniil Medvedev vs Pablo Carreno-Busta Editorial Preview By TennisTipster88.

D. Medvedev vs P. Carreno-Busta H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

D. Medvedev	Stats	P. Carreno-Busta
5	H2H Matches Won	2
10	Sets Won	5
78	Games Won	57
58	Aces (Total)	16
23	Total Double Faults	12
1:21:22	Average Match Time	1:21:22
63% (241/383)	1st Serve %	72% (330/461)
81% (196/241)	1st Serve Win %	60% (199/330)
45% (63/141)	2nd Serve Win %	47% (62/131)
38% (23/61)	Break Pts Won %	43% (12/28)
43% (200/461)	Return Points Win %	32% (124/383)
71% (5/7)	Best‑of‑3 Win %	29% (2/7)
100% (1/1)	Deciding Set Win %	0% (0/1)
100% (4/4)	1st Set Won, Won Match	67% (2/3)
0% (0/4)	1st Set Won, Lost Match	33% (1/3)
33% (1/3)	1st Set Lost, Won Match	0% (0/4)

Recent Performance Stats

D. Medvedev Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
Rolex Paris Masters - Paris - 27-10-2025
QF Alexander ZverevA. Zverev	L	2-6 6-3 7-6(5)	Stats
R3 Lorenzo SonegoL. Sonego	W	3-6 7-6(5) 6-4	Stats
R2 Grigor DimitrovG. Dimitrov	W	w/o	Stats
R1 Jaume Antoni Munar ClarJ. Antoni	W	6-1 6-3	Stats
Erste Bank Open - Vienna - 20-10-2025
R2 Corentin MoutetC. Moutet	L	7-6(3) 6-4	Stats

View All

P. Carreno-Busta Recent Matches Played

OPPONENT	RESULT	SCORE	H2H
Davis Cup, World Group, F, ITA-ESP 2-0 - 17-11-2025
Rubber 1 Matteo BerrettiniM. Berrettini	L	6-3 6-4	Stats
Davis Cup, World Group, SF, ESP-GER 2-1 - 17-11-2025
Rubber 1 Jan-Lennard StruffJ. Struff	W	6-4 7-6(6)	Stats
Davis Cup, World Group, QF, ESP-CZE 2-1 - 17-11-2025
Rubber 1 Jakub MensikJ. Mensik	L	7-5 6-4	Stats
Olbia Challenger - 13-10-2025
F Luca Van AsscheL. Van	L	7-6(5) 6-7(1) 6-2	Stats
SF Martin LandaluceM. Landaluce	W	6-2 3-6 6-3	Stats

View All

D. Medvedev vs P. Carreno-Busta Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

D. Medvedev	Stats	P. Carreno-Busta
70.40% (578/243)	YTD Win/Loss	63.25% (611/355)
65.95% (1356/700)	Sets Win/Loss	60.13% (1433/950)
55.60% (10945/8741)	Games Win/Loss	53.49% (12166/10580)
74.58% (267/91)	Hard Win/Loss	65.35% (198/105)
64.38% (94/52)	Clay Win/Loss	65.62% (355/186)
68.12% (156/73)	Indoor Hard W/L	50.98% (52/50)
69.32% (61/27)	Grass Win/Loss	30.00% (6/14)
0.57	Aces Per Game	0.26
5548	Aces Total	2864
0.28	Double Faults Per Game	0.12
2659	Total Double Faults	1384
1:34:45	Average Match Time	1:21:15
342.3	Average Opponent Rank	487.53
61% (33648/55201)	1st Serve %	64% (35944/56288)
75% (25219/33648)	1st Serve Win %	70% (25056/35944)
51% (10966/21546)	2nd Serve Win %	52% (10546/20339)
43% (2449/5718)	Break Points Won % (Total)	42% (2307/5554)
40% (22811/57170)	Return Points Win %	39% (22215/56929)
72.22% (91/35)	Slam W/L	59.41% (60/41)
67.57% (125/60)	Masters W/L	52.59% (71/64)
76.92% (20/6)	Cups W/L	52.17% (12/11)
72.06% (196/76)	Main Tour W/L	56.38% (168/130)
52.17% (12/11)	Tour Finals W/L	0.00% (0/2)
68.75% (55/25)	Challenger W/L	70.56% (151/63)
72.55% (74/28)	Futures W/L	77.01% (144/43)
71% (485/685)	Best of 3 Sets Win %	64% (542/850)
69% (88/127)	Best of 5 Sets Win %	59% (61/104)
56% (168/299)	Tiebreaks Win % (Total)	57% (208/368)
62% (145/235)	Deciding Set Win %	55% (170/308)
90% (533/481)	1st Set Won, Won Match	86% (596/515)
10% (533/51)	1st Set Won, Lost Match	13% (596/79)
33% (287/96)	1st Set Lost, Won Match	26% (368/94)